Texas

New update with state data up to midnight eastern: tally shows over 4000 tests.

https://t.co/Zc39AZVRge

WA and CA have conducted the most tests and have the most cases. Big gaps in our testing capacity knowledge: MA, TX, GA, PA.

@adamwulf We’re largely following the state heath departments, though we have enriched with media reports, and probably will do so with TX if the state continues to update slowly. -@alexismadrigal

The current number of people tested is now up to almost 14,000. Still far, far too low.

GA, MA, TX remain data holes.

These numbers are a lower bound for a few reasons:

1. We are still waiting on accurate negative test counts from CA, MA, GA, and TX, among other states.
2. Commercial labs only report positive results to the states.

@joshtpm Washington and New York are driving the numbers. We're falling further behind on CA testing numbers. Now that MA is out in the open, the other big question mark is TX.

One positive development is that Texas, Massachusetts, and several other states have begun to include total testing numbers from commercial labs, which are coming online. TX, for example: https://t.co/motgizKtMQ

And yet: we have known that our numbers were a lower bound on the number of tests for a while. We were just missing some total test numbers from big states. Now that some of those have been filled (thanks TX, MA!)—we have more data going uncaptured: private lab testing.

Worse, we're not able to tell you what the scale of that problem is on a state-by-state or national level. In Texas, private labs are doing ~50% of the testing. In MA, it's less than 25%. In AK, it's closer to 10%.

We want to thank some states for excellent new dashboards that now include all negative tests, including those from commercial laboratories. Thank you, @TexasDSHS, @GaDPH, @HealthyFla.

@doughardy_ct @TexasDSHS @GaDPH @HealthyFla Fantastic!

For example, here is the page for Texas: https://t.co/Wq0UFOUPqh.

You can see on this page that Texas reported 2,922 new test results today, after having only performed 2,355 cumulative tests prior to today!

Connecticut reported its single largest increase daily death toll.

Other states we're watching for Tuesday: Massachusetts, Michigan, Georgia, Florida, Texas, Kentucky. https://t.co/iVJQMeS7yQ

Many states reported a huge number of tests, including a known backlog clearing from MA (30k+). NY reported almost 50k tests; TX over 20k.

AL, CA, FL, GA, IL, MA, NY, TN, TX all reported over 10k tests.

The increase in testing was broadly distributed among the states. These states all reported over 10k tests today.

CA: 29,648 FL: 20,294 GA: 19,323 IL: 14,821 MA: 13,989 MN: 10,238 NY: 26,802 TN: 17,583 TX: 36,985 VA: 14,139

The increase in testing was broadly distributed among the states. These states all reported over 10k tests today.

CA: 29,648 FL: 20,294 GA: 19,323 IL: 14,821 MA: 13,989 MN: 10,238 NY: 26,802 TN: 17,583 TX: 36,985 VA: 14,139

We are still determining how widespread this problem is at the state level, but it is certain to have some effect on this data.

For example, the @TexasObserver got Texas on the record: https://t.co/BrhdVyntB1

@nogenderid @TexasObserver Oh yes. Some did not know they were doing it, as Vermont admitted in a press conference @EPetenko reported on, after @asuozzo asked about it. -@alexismadrigal

@jfhenry1876 @TexasObserver And then his health department reconfirmed that they were. https://t.co/MmWnZLYn8U

@jgarmend @TexasObserver The saga continues. Clearly a messy situation. -@alexismadrigal https://t.co/MmWnZLYn8U https://t.co/LtiOaejX1k

@cardlaw35 @TexasObserver Also a possibility! The point is: I can't think of anybody who wants this data commingled. -@alexismadrigal

Our daily update is published. We’ve now tracked 13.8 million tests, up 343k from yesterday.

5 states showed a decline in total tests due to separating out their antibody results: MI, MO, MS, TX, WV.

Details in this thread. https://t.co/y9aPPSnnor

Last thing: Texas updated just as we were publishing. We just caught picked up their numbers.

The number of new cases was low—about 16k—after a series of higher days. The 7-day average fell under 21k.

NY was under 1,000 new cases for the first time in 11 weeks!

California and Texas, which had new highs yesterday, were much lower today. https://t.co/E1yZfBBEym

Another 7 states — HI, ME, MT, NM, SD, UT, WY — are not reporting race / ethnicity for deaths.

TX is reporting but >70% of cases and deaths are listed as unknown.

Some data is better than none, but it's still not enough.

See the rest of the data: https://t.co/Ek3yOTKBgq

States reported fewer than 21k new cases today. The 7-day average fell a bit. After last week's higher numbers, we've seen some lower numbers, especially in the big states like CA and TX. https://t.co/zFXlGJiVJJ

There are several other states we're keeping an eye on. California, Minnesota, North Carolina, and Texas. https://t.co/FZWIFuMWLT

Our daily update is published. We’ve now tracked 20.6 million tests, up 379k from yesterday, the lowest total in a couple of weeks.

One reason for the low number: Texas still hasn't reported.

For details, see: https://t.co/PZrmH4bl5Y https://t.co/QnfWxOn1gF

But Texas, North Carolina, and South Carolina also saw spikes in hospitalizations. https://t.co/3mb7FMS2Zf

Let's take a look at California, Florida, and Texas. CA has a lot of cases, but it also has a lot of people and tests. Florida, though it had a larger outbreak earlier, looks much the same. (We only had a FL hospitalization number for a few days.) https://t.co/xVmyOdMLf8

Look at Texas, though. We see the rise in cases outpacing the rise in testing. Hospitalizations are also increasing. https://t.co/U39BeDXiV8

Today's numbers right now do not include Texas, which has not yet reported.

South Carolina separated out antibody tests from viral diagnostic tests today. Antibody tests represented ~10-11% of the tests that had been reported by the state.

We also just a number of new cases for Texas—1,826—in line with the state's recent growing numbers.

Arizona remains a trouble spot.

Alabama, which is experiencing an increase in cases, recently began reporting hospitalization. https://t.co/GtgfKkinE8

Here are four states—Texas, Arizona, North Carolina, and Arkansas—that had worrisome numbers today.

(Arizona's data dashboard crashed today, so we don't have a full set of their numbers. But we were able to capture these two metrics.) https://t.co/NDEfzp9cjn

We saw 3 states report more than 2,000 cases today: California, Florida, and Texas. https://t.co/EqiqthVEp0

We are seeing new hospitalization highs in Texas, Arizona, and North Carolina. We're showing Louisiana here as well for context, since it had an early COVID-19 outbreak. https://t.co/BvbW8DYEyt

Four states we've been watching closely—Texas, Arizona, North Carolina, and South Carolina—have not seen a leveling off yet in this new round of outbreaks. https://t.co/P0Ht5xsI7P

States reported ~23.5k cases today.

The 7-day average is now at its highest point since May 24.

One important caveat from Texas: 1500 of these cases are older data that local health authorities had not previously reported. https://t.co/Q8bADZ9q3P

Texas reported 4k new confirmed cases yesterday with some caveats. Today, the state reported 3,129 — without the caveats. https://t.co/1pGhGkmILK

Here are 5 states we looked at closely today.

Cases and hospitalizations are tracking closely in TX, AZ, and the Carolinas, but not in California. California's positive rate also has not gone up. https://t.co/xqOUjRWpbo

Florida continues not to report current hospitalizations, but it would not be a surprise if their numbers look a lot like the Texas chart. https://t.co/9dUA7wupH4

Let's take a closer look at TX and CA.

These states have similar case numbers, but very different positions.

In CA, the positive rate has remained low and hospitalizations steady.

In TX, the positive rate and hospitalizations are rising alongside cases. https://t.co/I9LlNIRqAh

Texas reported very large numbers today. There are now more than 4,000 people hospitalized. There were fewer than 3,000 people hospitalized 5 days ago (and roughly 2,000 two weeks ago). https://t.co/EY3paio6uN

6 states set new record highs today, including 3 of the 4 largest (California, Florida, Texas).

13 states set new highs in the last 5 days. You can see that most of them are in the South (red) or West (orange). https://t.co/mha5IeUs6j

While we’re in the Monday lull in data reporting, let’s look at a couple of concerning states outside AZ-CA-FL-TX outbreaks.

Missouri’s percent positive rate has gone from 4.3% the week of June 14 to 6.5% this week, with hospitalizations rising. https://t.co/ahvI7Gdn7W

Arizona, California, Florida, and Texas are still at the center of the current surge of new cases. Hospitalization for AZ, CA, and TX all climbing. We expect Florida's data has a similar shape. https://t.co/8G9RRQta6j

California, Texas, and Florida all reported over 6000 new cases today. https://t.co/9N1UNR4rCR

A second optimistic point: New Mexico looks to be in good shape, despite the huge outbreaks in neighboring states Arizona and Texas. https://t.co/lZDFiyxIyN

Several big states reported record numbers today: Arizona, California, Georgia, North Carolina, Texas. https://t.co/ZKTM496d2T

The number of currently hospitalized COVID patients in Texas surpassed California today. https://t.co/O4Kqm7zD7V

Before we get to the daily numbers, here's our weekly look at the numbers.

One topline: While Arizona, California, Florida, and Texas are dominating the headlines, many other areas also have serious problems.

https://t.co/2eZOamhZla https://t.co/Qu70PjuDNO

In Texas, too, daily average deaths have risen ~50% in the last two weeks.

Read more on the complexities of lag times, changing demographics, and COVID-19 deaths here: https://t.co/ZXFERIyS6I https://t.co/mVKwD3RdbM

You can see the states that did not report here as well as Florida's new record high of 11,458 new cases, which dwarfs even the 8000+ cases reported by Texas. https://t.co/ifvE1YV5y5

Texas, meanwhile, set a new record for the number of patients currently hospitalized with COVID-19. https://t.co/EtGME0RyqA

The South dominated new case counts today. Florida and Texas alone represented nearly 40% of new cases. https://t.co/3BKcVTUdOr

Seven states saw the number of people hospitalized rise by 100 or more today. In Texas, this figure is almost 5 times higher than it was 30 days ago on June 7 (1,878 to 9,286). https://t.co/z39Q1vJ6B0

California, Florida, and Texas combined accounted for 45% of all new cases today. https://t.co/Oi172TYX0q

There’s been a lot of discussions about deaths continuing to trend down as cases have surged. This chart provides a partial answer to what’s been happening. The falling numbers in the NE were offsetting rising deaths in AZ, TX, FL. https://t.co/hmZkhZXTPS

This is the same pattern we saw for cases and hospitalizations over the last couple months. Compare Arizona, New Jersey, New York, and Texas. https://t.co/Uz6d2aQ9LU

Sadly, cases are rising in many states beyond Florida, Texas, and Arizona. 23 states have seen their highest day of cases in the past 2 weeks. https://t.co/C5SC2UYLjg

This rise in deaths is concentrated in states with large outbreaks. Texas, California, and Florida all reported their single highest day of deaths for the entire pandemic today.

The upward trend holds for death data. Though the data is less smooth, between June 10 and July 10, the seven-day average of deaths reported by Arizona, California, Florida, South Carolina, and Texas has almost doubled. https://t.co/POzXF5GJG7

This chart doesn't require much analysis. Texas. https://t.co/I3RBfCUrtr

In Texas, the number of currently hospitalized COVID-19 patients has been over 10k for the last three days. New York, at its peak, had 18.8k hospitalized COVID-19 patients. https://t.co/vhn6Z512DU

Six states saw a rise of over 100 (FL, CA, TX, AZ, GA, TN) in their number of currently hospitalized COVID-19 patients. All six set new record highs for their states. https://t.co/1qvm9AEdMh

18 states reported over 900 new cases today. Nevada and Texas hit new highs. https://t.co/mb81voZYNR

Eight Southern states outside Texas and Florida currently have over 1,000 patients hospitalized with COVID-19. https://t.co/3JDRdkdvTk

Our update is published. States reported record tests completed (852k) and cases (77k) for the second day in a row, as well as 951 deaths.

One significant caveat: the total cases include ~5k cases from a reporting backlog in Texas. https://t.co/Ky60XDlluD

Populous states can generate large case counts, but if you look at the new cases per million today, 9 smaller states are showing more cases per million than California or Texas: AL, AR, ID, KS, KY, LA, MS, NV, and SC. https://t.co/1pYW6cWRaS

Here’s what’s going on. As states switch from the long-established CDC system to the new HHS one, some hospitals appear to be having trouble reporting their numbers. That led both Texas and California to place advisories on their dashboards. https://t.co/fbq1Su5Nz2

With the incomplete data, both CA and TX reported significant drops in their number of hospitalizations. Based on existing trends, we believe this drop to be primarily an artifact of the reporting. We reverted both states to yesterday’s numbers as better indicators of reality.

Texas moved into the top 10 in the total number of COVID-19 deaths that the state has reported this year. Washington, hit hard early, has now fallen out of the top 20. https://t.co/XFiutAyId6

Yesterday’s problems with COVID-19 hospitalization data continue today in CA and TX. Both states still warn that their hospitalization data is incomplete due to the changeover to HHS systems. We’ve carried over their hosp. data from Wednesday, before the warnings went up.

Another day of uneven current COVID-19 hospitalizations data. California and Texas are still not getting complete data from hospitals due to the HHS changeover. We’ve frozen their figures for now.

Hospitalizations fell a bit again. CA and TX (and maybe other states) are still not getting complete data due to the HHS changeover. We’ve frozen the CA and TX figures for now — and will reevaluate tomorrow. We’re hoping the CDC-HHS changeover issues get cleared up this week.

Please hold off on using the data for just a moment, we're working on a fix for Texas death data that includes a backfill dump.

(*) Texas has begun using death certificates to count COVID-19 deaths, and has added 675 deaths to their cumulative total, only 44 of which are meant to be associated with today’s data update. https://t.co/WgUUlCBiJL

Once again, the state data on current COVID-19 hospitalizations is unstable. CA, SC, and TX have all posted notices stating their hosp. data is incomplete because of the HHS changeover. We’ve maintained the freeze on their hospitalization data again. More on that tomorrow.

Texas has changed their method of counting deaths, and Hurricane Hanna has hit the state. This may have caused some backlog, which could have influenced the large number of deaths (313) they reported today. https://t.co/wsM9O4LUZO

The hotspot states remain hotspots, even as their cases plateau a little or even decline. However, we’re now seeing more deaths reported in these states. Today, 773 deaths were reported by Arizona, California, Florida, and Texas alone. https://t.co/wv3NWzsJxk

Our number of newly reported COVID-19 deaths includes 322 deaths in Texas, as the state reported today. However, Texas also removed 200+ deaths from its cumulative totals due to an “automation error,” so the cumulative counts on https://t.co/PZrmH4bl5Y reflect this adjustment.

Texas recently changed the way it counts COVID-19 deaths, and also retroactively adjusts death counts by day of death. We report by date reported for all jurisdictions we track. Blog post with details coming later this week.

But there is good news to report as well. The 7-day new-case average is declining in all four of our major hotspot states: AZ, CA, FL, and TX. https://t.co/6c3MJLCLLl

The 7-day rolling average of deaths for Texas and Florida has now surpassed some early hotspots like Michigan and Massachusetts.

The trajectory looks more like harder hit states like New Jersey. https://t.co/D49edXZKXT

Our update is published. Major caveat to the data: Texas did not report today. The other states reported 49k new cases and 726k new tests. There were 515 deaths reported, about the same level as last Sunday. For perspective, last Sunday TX reported 6k new cases and 153 deaths. https://t.co/NHzFl3mZ3f

Texas did not report yesterday, so their numbers are for 2 days. They’ve also changed their method of counting deaths to a more comprehensive, but slower method. Read more about the complex accounting of COVID-19 deaths in our most recent blog post: https://t.co/J8sdFTYlug

Georgia has consistently reported thousands of new cases each day—and has the fourth-largest number of hospitalized COVID-19 patients today, trailing only much larger states (CA, FL, TX). https://t.co/xtINB3o8bx

In better news, the great state of Texas is now reporting antigen tests. TX is doing it right, separating antigen results from PCR and reporting both positives and totals. You’ll see the numbers in our dataset as soon as we get antigens into the API. https://t.co/fAQa3XwZA5

Getting Texas antigen test results into public view has been a tangled process, and we’re very glad to see them. The @houstonchron reported on the whole story last weekend: https://t.co/aZL1Yt1QPF

The 7-day avg tests in Texas is now back to late-June levels, reinforcing a trend of falling testing numbers in recent weeks. This is especially concerning as schools are preparing to reopen in the state. https://t.co/FUPIvNyfMP

Another note on TX: Due to a large backlog, the state did not report case counts for Nueces County today. https://t.co/HqY5MqOy8J

Texas is another major question mark. For reasons that are not quite clear yet, the state has been aggressively reducing the number of tests it had counted but not assigned to a county for the last 10 days since a system upgrade.

Our daily update is published. States reported 881k tests, 200k more than yesterday. Texas alone reported 124k tests. States also reported 52k cases and 1,163 deaths. https://t.co/7602tY9XlU

Testing numbers have begun to rise again in California. Texas seems to have begun solving their test issues, reporting over 124k tests today alone. Florida testing remains far from peak numbers in July. https://t.co/0GIsmgooup

Texas testing data seems to have rebounded from very low numbers last week. However, the state has not provided clear answers on what is happening in its reporting systems and positivity calculations. Read more here about what we can and cannot know

https://t.co/Vf6vzZv1IR

For those following the saga of Texas testing, we’re seeing a lot more tests reported there. The state still hasn’t provided much detail about what happened over the last two weeks, and we look forward to learning more soon. https://t.co/zVWnxEfBbR

One major caveat today: Texas reported a backlog of 5k cases, which are included in today's numbers. Even for a Monday, which is subject to weekend lag, this is a very, very small number of cases.

Texas started clearing multiple case backlogs this week. The state’s health department noted that case numbers might be inaccurate for several days as counts "will include some older cases over the next few days." https://t.co/hNQeIO4rtI

Due to a network outage reported by the Texas DSHS, testing numbers were not updated today. https://t.co/8Zbcbq0IZw

Our daily update is published. States reported 763k tests, 37k cases, and 663 COVID-19 deaths. Important caveat: this update does not include Texas’s daily data, which is still not in today. https://t.co/gRVcvQlarp

Our daily update is published. States reported 743k tests, 30k cases, and 382 COVID-19 deaths. Important caveat: this update does not include Texas's daily data. Normal weekend lags are also reflected. https://t.co/tqTAdY78Dh

Daily numbers from Texas included a backlog of 8,000 COVID-19 cases. We removed the historical count from the daily value for trend consistency, but have included them in our cumulative numbers on the website. https://t.co/W2Q4CGocJU

For the second day in a row, Texas reported a significant backlog of cases. Daily numbers included 3,964 new cases and over 13,000 backlogged cases. The cumulative numbers are reflected on the website.

Texas reported a backlog of older cases recently reported by labs, which are included in our cumulative API, though not in today’s total.

Cases nationwide are on the rise. Two states - Illinois and Texas - are each reporting over 5k cases. https://t.co/1sgCu73Piu

TX, FL, and WI all reported over 5k cases today. IL reported a new daily record of over 8k cases. Here's how these states looked over the last two months for comparison. https://t.co/pQhRRDTkGQ

While long-term care facility data continues to be patchy, what we do know is grim: Cases continued to rocket upward last week with 19,086 new cases and 1,839 new deaths among staff and residents. More than a quarter of these cases were in just three states: IL, OH, and TX.

Texas made a late update to deaths, reporting 141. That brings our national death toll for today to 1562. That's the highest number of fatalities since May 14. https://t.co/c9U3EQeNoU

Illinois reported 15K cases today. A new record for the state. Cases in Texas are back over 10k. https://t.co/IRtsex4Ll0

Our daily update is published. States reported 1.5M tests, 139K cases, and 583 deaths. 69k people are currently hospitalized with COVID-19 in the US. Texas has not reported its data yet today. https://t.co/KD0j5Qe8bJ

Our daily update is published. States reported 1.5M tests, 149K cases, and 581 deaths. A record 73k people are currently hospitalized with COVID-19. Texas did not report testing data today. https://t.co/brjIHCylb3

26 states have over 1k people currently hospitalized with COVID-19. Hospitalizations in CA, TX, and IL account for almost a quarter of all COVID-19 current hospitalizations. https://t.co/E7aUzNBlmt

CA (18k) and TX (15k) both reported the highest single-day case count to date. https://t.co/8zIIjicvgh

A handful of states reported data for more than one day today, a result of data disruptions caused by the Thanksgiving holiday. On the other hand, CO, NJ, TX, WA, and WY only published partial updates today.

Seven states reported more than 10k cases today: CA, FL, IL, NY, PA, OH, and TX. https://t.co/L93HHx9vjH

The past few days have brought an important new set of metrics to state dashboards: vaccine data! So far, we’ve learned of six states—ID, MI, OH, SD, TX and UT—that are posting the number of vaccines administered on their dashboards.

But this view masks the seriousness of the situation in the three largest southern states. Hospitalizations are rapidly rising in Texas, Florida, and Georgia. https://t.co/MerIVz8tIF

California, Florida, and Texas alone reported 80 thousand cases today. https://t.co/NuCJYqmCC8

As of today, vaccine data is readily available across 49 states and territories, but our team only found vaccine data on doses administered in LTCs in seven states: Arkansas, Illinois, Kentucky, Michigan, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas.

The number of people currently hospitalized with COVID-19 in the US is now below 100k for the first time since December 1. Almost all US states are seeing hospitalizations decline or flatten, and CA, FL, and TX all posted big drops today. https://t.co/ZbV4kUoiWh

Weather-related outages in Texas have resulted in significant case and fatality reporting delays. It's likely that winter storms across the country have partially resulted in artificially low numbers.

We urge caution in interpreting any wobbles in the data in the next week or two, given disruptions from the storms in Texas and elsewhere.

As previously mentioned, we’ve been unable to update Texas’ testing data for the past 4 days due to the winter storms. Case and death reporting is also likely affected. https://t.co/Ao6yJjqena

In our weekly update, we warned that Texas numbers could be erratic for some time because of the storms and power outages. We recommend keeping an eye on hospitalizations as the sturdiest metric there.

https://t.co/vjwxr5ABXs https://t.co/pF3fwUM4xs

Data from TX is still a bit wobbly. Total PCR tests (specimens) decreased by 85k without explanation, after increasing by over 400k yesterday.

Texas reported relatively high numbers for new cases and deaths today, likely due in part to backlog clearing following the recent winter storms. https://t.co/8vBauaqjaH

Data from Texas is still a bit wobbly due to storm-related reporting disruptions. It's likely that backlogs from the state have affected the 7-day case averages in the South. https://t.co/cFGhEhlZde

A close look at the topline metrics in Texas shows evidence of major disruption in COVID-19 data reporting across our second-most populous state. When Texas has big problems, they really move the national numbers. https://t.co/b4Tc85tPut

Today’s update includes 31k previously unreported tests in MN and 2125 previously unreported cases in TX.